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Red134
464632.8
85846.3
126144.9
Blue99
19134.7
138928.4
216844.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13110340608012014016018020013499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#17
46.30.7
47.548.2
Auto9.4
Teleop31.3
End5.6
red by 2.3
2168
#45
44.00.4
41.240.8
Auto14.0
Teleop23.7
End6.4
Second
1261
#13
44.90.7
44.144.7
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End4.9
red by 10.2
191
#44
34.70.4
35.835.5
Auto10.0
Teleop19.4
End5.3
Third
4646
#26
32.80.7
32.132.8
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End4.6
red by 4.3
1389
#35
28.40.4
27.527.1
Auto9.1
Teleop16.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
55%Capture oddsEarned20%Capture oddsMissed