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Red94
519933.6
32134.0
446944.0
Blue112
464632.8
365636.9
284832.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117107608010014016018094112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#28
44.01.5
44.743.1
Auto9.4
Teleop29.9
End4.6
red by 7.1
3656
#37
36.90.2
39.839.6
Auto9.7
Teleop22.1
End5.0
Second
321
#30
34.01.5
33.732.1
Auto10.4
Teleop18.1
End5.5
red by 1.2
4646
#26
32.80.2
32.832.6
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End4.6
Third
5199
#50
33.61.5
33.832.2
Auto10.9
Teleop12.4
End10.3
red by 1.6
2848
#49
32.00.2
32.532.3
Auto7.3
Teleop21.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsMissed99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed