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Red99
418031.6
288339.9
445521.3
Blue135
333941.6
432930.2
85846.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911225010015020099135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#18
39.90.4
45.045.4
Auto12.1
Teleop22.8
End4.9
blue by 6.5
858
#17
46.31.4
48.249.7
Auto9.4
Teleop31.3
End5.6
Second
4180
#47
31.60.4
30.130.5
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End5.9
blue by 10.0
3339
#33
41.61.4
36.037.4
Auto13.4
Teleop23.2
End5.0
Third
4455
#74
21.30.4
17.918.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End2.2
blue by 8.9
4329
#39
30.21.4
29.530.9
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed28%Capture oddsEarned