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Qual 752016 Curie Division
Red128
401031.4
354644.1
63939.8
Blue94
37947.0
323036.4
19134.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11411905015020025030035012894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3546
#1
44.11.1
42.9→44.0
Auto14.1
Teleop24.9
End5.1
blue by 2.9
379
#16
47.01.7
42.3→40.5
Auto12.2
Teleop26.1
End8.7
Second
639
#6
39.81.1
38.2→39.3
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End10.4
red by 3.4
3230
#56
36.41.7
37.1→35.4
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End5.9
Third
4010
#41
31.41.1
30.4→31.5
Auto9.3
Teleop17.9
End4.2
blue by 3.3
191
#44
34.71.7
35.5→33.7
Auto10.0
Teleop19.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
74%Capture oddsEarned33%Capture oddsMissed