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Red93
199127.5
28739.5
406137.6
Blue108
323437.4
222020.3
418031.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079305015093108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#64
39.50.6
38.037.4
Auto10.9
Teleop24.4
End4.2
red by 2.1
3234
#48
37.40.4
40.540.9
Auto9.5
Teleop17.6
End10.2
Second
4061
#12
37.60.6
35.635.0
Auto12.4
Teleop17.8
End7.5
red by 6.1
4180
#47
31.60.4
29.529.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End5.9
Third
1991
#42
27.50.6
27.927.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End4.0
red by 7.2
2220
#60
20.30.4
22.022.4
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
30%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed