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Qual 922016 Curie Division
Red147
2550.0
540647.7
323036.4
Blue138
69439.7
216844.0
300539.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13711150100150200147138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#3
50.01.2
49.4→50.6
Auto11.9
Teleop24.3
End13.9
red by 6.0
2168
#45
44.01.7
41.5→43.2
Auto14.0
Teleop23.7
End6.4
Second
5406
#5
47.71.2
45.5→46.6
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
red by 7.8
3005
#7
39.81.7
38.5→40.3
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
Third
3230
#56
36.41.2
34.8→35.9
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End5.9
blue by 3.3
694
#8
39.71.7
31.9→33.6
Auto9.5
Teleop25.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
100%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
82%Capture oddsEarned17%Capture oddsEarned