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Red151
18036.3
23336.8
459218.3
Blue115
355630.6
238328.1
279724.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114104406080140160180200151115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#1
36.80.3
36.636.9
Auto8.6
Teleop23.0
End5.2
red by 6.2
3556
#14
30.60.3
31.031.3
Auto6.4
Teleop20.3
End3.9
Second
180
#5
36.30.3
36.036.3
Auto9.2
Teleop23.7
End3.3
red by 8.2
2383
#11
28.10.3
28.428.8
Auto7.3
Teleop15.5
End5.3
Third
4592
#17
18.30.3
18.018.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End3.2
blue by 6.1
2797
#52
24.30.3
24.725.0
Auto7.7
Teleop12.0
End4.6