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Quarterfinal 2-12016 Orlando Regional
Red113
38632.9
388030.7
8625.4
Blue111
2131.7
476923.7
514526.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11198406080120140160180113111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#8
32.90.0
32.6→32.6
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End4.8
red by 1.1
21
#15
31.70.3
31.3→31.6
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End10.5
Second
3880
#6
30.70.0
30.4→30.4
Auto8.7
Teleop18.3
End3.7
red by 3.9
5145
#22
26.80.3
26.4→26.7
Auto10.4
Teleop11.8
End4.6
Third
86
#13
25.40.0
25.0→25.0
Auto4.8
Teleop16.0
End4.6
red by 1.7
4769
#9
23.70.3
23.3→23.6
Auto5.5
Teleop15.0
End3.1