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Red70
562811.3
459218.3
38632.9
Blue35
393223.8
125128.1
541215.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605802040801001207035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#8
32.90.4
20.920.6
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End4.8
red by 4.8
1251
#38
28.12.4
22.419.9
Auto7.4
Teleop16.2
End4.4
Second
4592
#17
18.30.4
19.519.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End3.2
blue by 5.6
3932
#42
23.82.4
18.516.1
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End4.3
Third
5628
#59
11.30.4
17.717.4
Auto2.3
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 4.0
5412
#46
15.32.4
16.013.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed