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Qual 242016 Orlando Regional
Red70
74429.7
445141.4
316418.6
Blue50
10818.1
490119.7
547227.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions844902040601001201407050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#2
41.40.5
36.2→35.7
Auto14.0
Teleop20.4
End7.0
red by 13.8
5472
#24
27.60.9
21.1→20.2
Auto8.3
Teleop13.9
End5.4
Second
744
#4
29.70.7
25.9→25.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.8
End4.5
red by 9.9
4901
#43
19.70.7
14.4→13.8
Auto4.2
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Third
3164
#50
18.60.7
14.1→13.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.0
End3.2
red by 0.5
108
#27
18.10.9
17.6→16.7
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed