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Red48
456221.1
159221.9
255620.5
Blue85
2131.7
74429.7
564611.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595702040801001201404885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#44
21.91.0
20.219.3
Auto6.2
Teleop13.6
End2.1
blue by 9.8
21
#15
31.73.3
21.524.8
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End10.5
Second
4562
#30
21.11.0
17.216.2
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End1.3
blue by 8.5
744
#4
29.73.3
25.228.5
Auto8.4
Teleop16.8
End4.5
Third
2556
#63
20.50.6
19.318.7
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.4
red by 9.4
5646
#41
11.13.3
8.912.1
Auto1.8
Teleop8.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed