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Red77
618419.9
187221.3
38632.9
Blue105
129319.1
365325.3
445141.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587420408010012077105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#8
32.92.0
25.727.7
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End4.8
blue by 8.5
41.42.3
36.939.2
Auto14.0
Teleop20.4
End7.0
Second
1872
#53
21.32.0
15.417.4
Auto1.9
Teleop13.8
End5.6
blue by 3.9
3653
#28
25.33.9
17.821.7
Auto5.1
Teleop15.5
End4.7
Third
6184
#39
19.92.0
17.919.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.1
End3.0
red by 0.8
1293
#48
19.13.9
15.119.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed