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Red80
190222.3
215227.3
18036.3
Blue77
2131.7
514526.8
584220.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73737072747678808077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#5
36.31.0
29.030.0
Auto9.2
Teleop23.7
End3.3
red by 4.5
21
#15
31.71.0
24.823.8
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End10.5
Second
2152
#31
27.31.0
20.121.2
Auto11.3
Teleop12.0
End4.0
red by 0.5
5145
#22
26.81.0
24.423.4
Auto10.4
Teleop11.8
End4.6
Third
1902
#12
22.31.0
21.722.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.3
End2.5
red by 1.8
5842
#29
20.51.0
21.820.8
Auto9.4
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed