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Qual 522016 Orlando Regional
Red89
393223.8
411827.0
476923.7
Blue77
106530.3
447127.5
255620.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686740506080901008977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4118
#19
27.02.6
25.5→28.1
Auto10.2
Teleop13.9
End2.8
blue by 3.3
1065
#10
30.31.3
24.1→25.4
Auto5.8
Teleop20.5
End4.1
Second
3932
#42
23.82.6
20.7→23.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End4.3
blue by 3.7
4471
#23
27.51.3
22.7→24.0
Auto8.3
Teleop14.0
End5.2
Third
4769
#9
23.72.6
19.8→22.4
Auto5.5
Teleop15.0
End3.1
red by 3.2
2556
#63
20.50.8
18.7→19.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed