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Qual 542016 Orlando Regional
Red83
23336.8
527617.3
324222.3
Blue75
38632.9
215227.3
614518.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66664050607080908375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#1
36.81.5
32.4→33.9
Auto8.6
Teleop23.0
End5.2
red by 3.9
386
#8
32.91.2
27.7→28.9
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End4.8
Second
3242
#25
22.31.5
17.7→19.2
Auto5.3
Teleop13.3
End3.8
blue by 5.0
2152
#31
27.31.2
21.2→22.3
Auto11.3
Teleop12.0
End4.0
Third
5276
#54
17.31.5
14.1→15.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End2.7
blue by 1.2
6145
#26
18.51.2
15.7→16.8
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed