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Red52
152324.3
562811.3
406416.9
Blue62
291620.0
190222.3
572222.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575740506070805262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1523
#62
24.30.3
24.524.2
Auto8.7
Teleop11.0
End4.7
red by 1.5
5722
#47
22.80.1
15.715.8
Auto4.8
Teleop13.0
End5.0
Second
4064
#56
16.90.3
15.615.3
Auto1.5
Teleop11.2
End4.2
blue by 5.4
1902
#12
22.30.1
22.722.8
Auto6.5
Teleop13.3
End2.5
Third
5628
#59
11.30.3
14.614.3
Auto2.3
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 8.7
2916
#40
20.00.1
17.517.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed61%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed