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Red106
301119.1
547227.6
447127.5
Blue49
187221.3
406518.8
159221.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595730405070809010010649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#24
27.63.2
21.024.2
Auto8.3
Teleop13.9
End5.4
red by 5.7
1592
#44
21.90.8
20.719.9
Auto6.2
Teleop13.6
End2.1
Second
4471
#23
27.53.2
24.027.2
Auto8.3
Teleop14.0
End5.2
red by 6.2
1872
#53
21.30.8
17.416.6
Auto1.9
Teleop13.8
End5.6
Third
3011
#57
19.13.2
12.315.5
Auto7.9
Teleop9.5
End1.6
red by 0.2
4065
#58
18.80.8
17.917.1
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned33%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed