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Red50
528320.0
495316.7
459218.3
Blue102
572222.8
7934.6
547227.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5877204010012050102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5283
#51
20.01.6
23.221.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.1
End1.9
blue by 14.6
79
#3
34.62.8
31.834.6
Auto6.9
Teleop20.6
End7.1
Second
4592
#17
18.31.6
18.617.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End3.2
blue by 9.4
5472
#24
27.62.8
24.227.0
Auto8.3
Teleop13.9
End5.4
Third
4953
#45
16.71.6
17.516.0
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End3.1
blue by 6.2
5722
#47
22.82.8
15.818.6
Auto4.8
Teleop13.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsMissed63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed