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Qual 702016 Orlando Regional
Red71
365325.3
476923.7
291620.0
Blue64
614518.5
323311.1
159221.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6748204060801001207164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3653
#28
25.31.0
22.1→23.1
Auto5.1
Teleop15.5
End4.7
red by 3.4
1592
#44
21.91.0
19.9→20.9
Auto6.2
Teleop13.6
End2.1
Second
4769
#9
23.71.0
22.7→23.7
Auto5.5
Teleop15.0
End3.1
red by 5.2
6145
#26
18.51.0
16.8→17.8
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End3.3
Third
2916
#40
20.01.0
17.6→18.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End5.1
red by 8.9
3233
#61
11.11.0
13.2→14.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsEarned26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed