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Red84
406518.8
125128.1
106530.3
Blue124
514526.8
445141.4
238328.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions739940608012014016084124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1065
#10
30.30.9
29.730.6
Auto5.8
Teleop20.5
End4.1
blue by 11.1
41.40.8
41.442.2
Auto14.0
Teleop20.4
End7.0
Second
1251
#38
28.10.9
26.827.7
Auto7.4
Teleop16.2
End4.4
Level
2383
#11
28.11.2
25.526.7
Auto7.3
Teleop15.5
End5.3
Third
4065
#58
18.80.9
18.519.5
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End2.9
blue by 8.0
5145
#22
26.81.2
25.426.6
Auto10.4
Teleop11.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed