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Qual 792016 Orlando Regional
Red103
74429.7
80123.3
18036.3
Blue99
187639.6
476923.7
355630.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8893608010012014010399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#5
36.30.7
33.5→34.2
Auto9.2
Teleop23.7
End3.3
blue by 3.3
1876
#7
39.60.7
39.4→40.1
Auto7.6
Teleop19.7
End12.3
Second
744
#4
29.70.7
30.5→31.3
Auto8.4
Teleop16.8
End4.5
blue by 1.0
3556
#14
30.61.0
26.1→27.2
Auto6.4
Teleop20.3
End3.9
Third
801
#37
23.30.7
22.1→22.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End2.7
blue by 0.4
4769
#9
23.71.0
23.7→24.7
Auto5.5
Teleop15.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed