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Red78
155727.2
584220.5
187221.3
Blue93
614518.5
8625.4
23336.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66812040601001207893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1557
#20
27.21.2
26.227.5
Auto7.2
Teleop15.2
End4.8
blue by 9.6
233
#1
36.80.7
34.335.0
Auto8.6
Teleop23.0
End5.2
Second
1872
#53
21.31.2
18.920.2
Auto1.9
Teleop13.8
End5.6
blue by 4.0
86
#13
25.40.7
24.325.0
Auto4.8
Teleop16.0
End4.6
Third
5842
#29
20.51.2
20.922.2
Auto9.4
Teleop9.1
End2.0
red by 1.9
6145
#26
18.50.7
17.818.5
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned