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Red81
541215.3
561619.7
2131.7
Blue65
406518.8
152324.3
528320.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666940506080901008165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21
#15
31.70.6
30.731.3
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End10.5
red by 7.4
1523
#62
24.30.6
24.924.3
Auto8.7
Teleop11.0
End4.7
Second
5616
#36
19.70.6
19.119.7
Auto3.2
Teleop13.8
End2.7
blue by 0.3
5283
#51
20.00.6
22.221.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Third
5412
#46
15.30.6
14.715.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End3.2
blue by 3.5
4065
#58
18.80.6
19.518.8
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed