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Qual 892016 Orlando Regional
Red83
174416.8
187221.3
23336.8
Blue81
393223.8
388030.7
80123.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72802040601001208381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#1
36.81.2
35.0→36.1
Auto8.6
Teleop23.0
End5.2
red by 6.1
3880
#6
30.70.5
29.9→30.4
Auto8.7
Teleop18.3
End3.7
Second
1872
#53
21.31.2
20.2→21.3
Auto1.9
Teleop13.8
End5.6
blue by 2.5
3932
#42
23.80.5
23.4→23.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End4.3
Third
1744
#49
16.81.2
15.6→16.8
Auto7.2
Teleop6.7
End2.8
blue by 6.5
801
#37
23.30.5
22.8→23.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned