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Semifinal 1-12016 Orlando Regional
Red148
18036.3
23336.8
459218.3
Blue118
38632.9
388030.7
8625.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11011290100120130140148118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#1
36.80.4
35.8→36.3
Auto8.6
Teleop23.0
End5.2
red by 3.9
386
#8
32.90.1
33.5→33.6
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End4.8
Second
180
#5
36.30.4
35.3→35.7
Auto9.2
Teleop23.7
End3.3
red by 5.6
3880
#6
30.70.1
31.3→31.4
Auto8.7
Teleop18.3
End3.7
Third
4592
#17
18.30.4
17.3→17.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End3.2
blue by 7.1
86
#13
25.40.1
26.0→26.0
Auto4.8
Teleop16.0
End4.6