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Red1
581625.6
279722.1
406518.8
Blue0
584224.9
5842B12.4
18615.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866205010015010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5816
Unranked
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End4.9
red by 0.7
5842
Unranked
24.90.0
24.924.9
Auto9.6
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Second
2797
Unranked
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto5.8
Teleop12.5
End3.8
red by 6.5
186
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Third
4065
Unranked
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End2.9
red by 6.4
5842B
Unranked
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End1.8