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Red123
17947.6
259041.3
547221.6
Blue117
18040.4
106539.0
393229.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14913150100200250123117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
47.60.5
49.048.5
Auto10.5
Teleop27.6
End9.5
red by 7.1
180
#5
40.40.4
40.940.5
Auto9.2
Teleop27.1
End4.2
Second
41.30.5
42.742.2
Auto9.1
Teleop27.5
End4.7
red by 2.3
39.00.4
39.539.1
Auto8.0
Teleop26.8
End4.2
Third
5472
#25
21.60.5
22.922.5
Auto9.5
Teleop8.9
End3.2
blue by 7.8
3932
#23
29.40.4
29.929.5
Auto9.9
Teleop13.7
End5.8