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Red62
355635.7
459225.9
174416.6
Blue129
38637.7
74432.1
584219.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951115015020062129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3556
#19
35.70.4
36.135.7
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End4.3
blue by 2.0
386
#17
37.70.5
37.337.8
Auto11.6
Teleop20.4
End5.6
Second
25.90.4
26.225.9
Auto6.2
Teleop15.7
End4.0
blue by 6.2
744
#10
32.10.5
31.732.2
Auto9.3
Teleop17.6
End5.2
Third
1744
#49
16.60.4
17.016.6
Auto6.9
Teleop7.2
End2.5
blue by 2.5
5842
#51
19.10.5
18.619.1
Auto7.8
Teleop10.8
End0.5