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Red98
259041.3
622523.5
215230.1
Blue97
17947.6
519621.0
69425.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81970501509897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.8
37.838.6
Auto9.1
Teleop27.5
End4.7
blue by 6.3
179
#2
47.60.3
48.849.1
Auto10.5
Teleop27.6
End9.5
Second
30.11.0
26.527.4
Auto10.6
Teleop15.0
End4.5
red by 4.6
694
#36
25.50.4
25.726.2
Auto7.7
Teleop15.5
End2.3
Third
6225
#27
23.51.3
16.618.0
Auto9.8
Teleop10.6
End3.0
red by 2.4
5196
#46
21.00.6
17.518.0
Auto7.0
Teleop10.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed