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Red49
341020.2
424017.9
457525.1
Blue96
226522.9
8632.1
581622.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6871204060801001204996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4575
#18
25.11.2
24.022.8
Auto6.2
Teleop14.7
End4.1
blue by 7.0
86
#16
32.11.5
29.531.0
Auto10.4
Teleop17.3
End4.4
Second
3410
#48
20.21.2
22.121.0
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End1.2
blue by 2.6
2265
#39
22.91.5
19.020.5
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End2.5
Third
4240
#21
17.91.2
20.219.0
Auto8.7
Teleop7.4
End1.8
blue by 4.4
5816
#26
22.41.5
19.721.3
Auto6.4
Teleop12.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsMissed34%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed