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Red75
279722.1
622813.6
18040.4
Blue103
259041.3
457525.1
125132.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7696020406012014016075103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#5
40.40.2
41.141.0
Auto9.2
Teleop27.1
End4.2
blue by 0.9
41.30.9
38.639.4
Auto9.1
Teleop27.5
End4.7
Second
2797
#34
22.10.2
22.121.9
Auto5.8
Teleop12.5
End3.8
blue by 10.0
1251
#15
32.10.9
29.930.8
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End5.1
Third
6228
#56
13.60.2
13.913.6
Auto5.9
Teleop6.7
End1.0
blue by 11.5
4575
#18
25.10.9
21.522.3
Auto6.2
Teleop14.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsMissed93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsEarned