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Red50
623115.2
74432.1
600112.2
Blue102
106539.0
524323.8
587217.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56760204010012014016050102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#10
32.11.0
27.526.5
Auto9.3
Teleop17.6
End5.2
blue by 6.9
39.01.9
33.335.3
Auto8.0
Teleop26.8
End4.2
Second
6231
#41
15.21.4
14.012.6
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End1.5
blue by 8.6
5243
#22
23.81.7
22.524.2
Auto10.2
Teleop9.3
End4.2
Third
6001
#60
12.21.4
15.814.4
Auto2.5
Teleop9.3
End0.4
blue by 4.9
5872
#40
17.11.7
15.016.8
Auto2.8
Teleop11.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed