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Red58
174416.6
622523.5
323310.7
Blue95
152327.8
575324.8
34823.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387402060801001205895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6225
#27
23.51.2
18.019.2
Auto9.8
Teleop10.6
End3.0
blue by 4.3
1523
#12
27.81.3
22.924.3
Auto8.8
Teleop13.1
End6.0
Second
1744
#49
16.60.8
15.216.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.2
End2.5
blue by 8.2
5753
#13
24.82.0
22.624.6
Auto4.9
Teleop15.7
End4.1
Third
3233
#53
10.70.8
9.210.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.7
End1.2
blue by 12.9
348
#47
23.61.2
21.422.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
12%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed