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Red85
524323.8
510917.4
341020.2
Blue95
622813.6
17947.6
324222.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5784020401001201408595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5243
#22
23.81.4
24.225.6
Auto10.2
Teleop9.3
End4.2
blue by 23.8
179
#2
47.61.1
48.049.1
Auto10.5
Teleop27.6
End9.5
Second
3410
#48
20.21.4
22.323.7
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End1.2
blue by 2.3
3242
#37
22.51.3
16.217.4
Auto6.6
Teleop12.9
End3.0
Third
5109
#54
17.41.4
12.614.0
Auto6.3
Teleop8.4
End2.8
red by 3.8
6228
#56
13.61.9
13.615.5
Auto5.9
Teleop6.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed