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Red69
226522.9
623213.9
362720.9
Blue74
174416.6
584219.1
152327.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536302040801006974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2265
#39
22.91.3
18.219.5
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End2.5
blue by 5.0
1523
#12
27.80.0
24.324.2
Auto8.8
Teleop13.1
End6.0
Second
3627
#31
20.91.1
20.621.6
Auto7.6
Teleop8.6
End4.6
red by 1.9
5842
#51
19.10.0
19.519.4
Auto7.8
Teleop10.8
End0.5
Third
6232
#55
13.91.8
14.115.9
Auto6.6
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 2.6
1744
#49
16.60.0
16.015.9
Auto6.9
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsEarned34%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed