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Red75
553623.2
600112.2
355635.7
Blue79
323310.7
18040.4
34823.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687702040601001201407579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3556
#19
35.70.5
33.534.0
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End4.3
blue by 4.7
180
#5
40.40.0
41.041.0
Auto9.2
Teleop27.1
End4.2
Second
5536
#14
23.20.5
19.319.8
Auto9.2
Teleop10.5
End3.6
blue by 0.4
348
#47
23.60.0
22.622.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.8
End5.5
Third
6001
#60
12.20.9
14.415.3
Auto2.5
Teleop9.3
End0.4
red by 1.5
3233
#53
10.70.0
10.010.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned50%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed