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Red45
115521.0
622813.6
510917.4
Blue85
238333.7
584219.1
447124.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions408802060801001201404585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1155
#45
21.00.4
16.115.7
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End3.3
blue by 12.7
33.70.1
35.435.5
Auto11.9
Teleop15.4
End6.4
Second
5109
#54
17.40.4
13.913.5
Auto6.3
Teleop8.4
End2.8
blue by 7.0
4471
#20
24.40.1
24.724.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.9
End5.6
Third
6228
#56
13.60.7
16.215.5
Auto5.9
Teleop6.7
End1.0
blue by 5.5
5842
#51
19.10.1
18.318.4
Auto7.8
Teleop10.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsMissed95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed