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Red106
547221.6
575324.8
259041.3
Blue72
226522.9
581923.6
324222.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1046005015010672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.4
44.745.1
Auto9.1
Teleop27.5
End4.7
red by 17.7
5819
#24
23.60.5
20.721.2
Auto5.9
Teleop13.1
End4.7
Second
5753
#13
24.80.6
24.625.2
Auto4.9
Teleop15.7
End4.1
red by 1.9
2265
#39
22.90.5
22.322.7
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End2.5
Third
5472
#25
21.60.4
25.525.9
Auto9.5
Teleop8.9
End3.2
blue by 1.0
3242
#37
22.50.5
22.122.5
Auto6.6
Teleop12.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
7%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed