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Red64
290512.2
524323.8
226522.9
Blue74
459225.9
238333.7
8720.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61750501001502006474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5243
#22
23.80.2
22.322.1
Auto10.2
Teleop9.3
End4.2
blue by 9.9
33.70.1
34.534.3
Auto11.9
Teleop15.4
End6.4
Second
2265
#39
22.90.3
20.019.7
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End2.5
blue by 3.0
25.90.2
18.318.1
Auto6.2
Teleop15.7
End4.0
Third
2905
#50
12.20.3
19.419.1
Auto1.2
Teleop8.0
End3.0
blue by 8.1
87
#38
20.30.1
18.418.2
Auto7.3
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed