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Red64
393229.4
8720.3
424017.9
Blue107
457525.1
175824.8
74432.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707720406010012014064107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3932
#23
29.40.3
30.229.9
Auto9.9
Teleop13.7
End5.8
blue by 2.7
744
#10
32.12.2
28.430.6
Auto9.3
Teleop17.6
End5.2
Second
87
#38
20.30.3
20.620.3
Auto7.3
Teleop10.8
End2.1
blue by 4.8
4575
#18
25.12.2
22.925.1
Auto6.2
Teleop14.7
End4.1
Third
4240
#21
17.90.3
18.317.9
Auto8.7
Teleop7.4
End1.8
blue by 6.9
1758
#33
24.82.2
22.624.8
Auto7.0
Teleop14.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed