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Red139
17947.6
259041.3
547221.6
Blue104
14136.9
365333.0
279722.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157107050200250300139104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
47.60.0
49.949.9
Auto10.5
Teleop27.6
End9.5
red by 10.7
141
#8
36.90.2
37.136.9
Auto10.6
Teleop22.0
End4.3
Second
41.30.0
43.643.6
Auto9.1
Teleop27.5
End4.7
red by 8.3
33.00.2
33.133.0
Auto5.0
Teleop23.0
End5.0
Third
5472
#25
21.60.0
23.923.9
Auto9.5
Teleop8.9
End3.2
blue by 0.5
2797
#34
22.10.2
22.322.1
Auto5.8
Teleop12.5
End3.8