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Red101
38637.7
74432.1
584219.1
Blue116
18040.4
106539.0
393229.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10514050150200101116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#17
37.70.2
37.837.6
Auto11.6
Teleop20.4
End5.6
blue by 2.7
180
#5
40.40.3
41.240.8
Auto9.2
Teleop27.1
End4.2
Second
744
#10
32.10.2
32.232.0
Auto9.3
Teleop17.6
End5.2
blue by 6.9
39.00.3
39.739.4
Auto8.0
Teleop26.8
End4.2
Third
5842
#51
19.10.2
19.118.9
Auto7.8
Teleop10.8
End0.5
blue by 10.4
3932
#23
29.40.3
30.129.8
Auto9.9
Teleop13.7
End5.8