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Red124
38637.7
74432.1
584219.1
Blue155
18040.4
106539.0
393229.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10413850150200124155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#17
37.70.1
37.637.7
Auto11.6
Teleop20.4
End5.6
blue by 2.7
180
#5
40.40.0
40.840.8
Auto9.2
Teleop27.1
End4.2
Second
744
#10
32.10.1
32.032.1
Auto9.3
Teleop17.6
End5.2
blue by 6.9
39.00.0
39.439.4
Auto8.0
Teleop26.8
End4.2
Third
5842
#51
19.10.1
18.919.1
Auto7.8
Teleop10.8
End0.5
blue by 10.4
3932
#23
29.40.0
29.829.8
Auto9.9
Teleop13.7
End5.8