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Red94
164831.5
418836.9
47307.8
Blue122
332924.8
126137.4
565114.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9596809010011012094122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.2
37.136.9
Auto9.7
Teleop21.4
End5.9
blue by 0.5
37.40.4
37.137.4
Auto9.2
Teleop22.9
End5.3
Second
31.50.2
31.731.5
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End4.5
red by 6.7
24.80.4
24.424.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.7
End3.4
Third
4730
#23
7.80.2
8.07.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.5
End-0.3
blue by 6.9
5651
#21
14.70.4
14.414.7
Auto2.2
Teleop9.6
End2.9