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Red75
617717.4
565114.7
164831.5
Blue15
582817.6
613914.4
423510.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514402060801007515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.51.7
26.027.8
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End4.5
red by 13.9
5828
#19
17.62.3
16.814.5
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End1.9
Second
6177
#13
17.41.7
18.520.3
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End2.5
red by 3.0
6139
#18
14.42.3
13.411.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Third
5651
#21
14.71.7
4.26.0
Auto2.2
Teleop9.6
End2.9
red by 4.1
4235
#24
10.73.8
13.710.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned29%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed