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Red50
573419.4
424018.4
613914.4
Blue54
565114.7
582817.6
494118.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413402060805054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5734
#22
19.40.7
15.316.0
Auto7.2
Teleop8.6
End3.6
red by 0.6
4941
#17
18.91.3
14.615.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Second
4240
#12
18.40.7
12.212.9
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End2.1
red by 0.8
5828
#19
17.61.3
12.914.2
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End1.9
Third
6139
#18
14.40.7
11.712.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
blue by 0.3
5651
#21
14.71.3
6.57.8
Auto2.2
Teleop9.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed17%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed