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Red88
363522.1
617717.4
332924.8
Blue67
100223.6
494118.9
584818.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525230406070808867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.82.2
14.316.5
Auto6.7
Teleop14.7
End3.4
red by 1.2
1002
#14
23.61.8
23.525.3
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End3.1
Second
22.12.2
17.319.4
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End4.5
red by 3.2
4941
#17
18.91.1
15.917.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Third
6177
#13
17.42.2
19.021.2
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End2.5
blue by 0.7
18.21.1
11.612.6
Auto1.0
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed