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Red96
584017.7
529321.5
418836.9
Blue65
573419.4
584818.2
553618.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7445020601001209665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.9
33.934.8
Auto9.7
Teleop21.4
End5.9
red by 17.5
5734
#22
19.41.1
17.919.0
Auto7.2
Teleop8.6
End3.6
Second
5293
#15
21.50.9
19.220.1
Auto4.6
Teleop12.8
End4.1
red by 2.9
5536
#20
18.61.8
15.717.5
Auto6.3
Teleop9.4
End3.0
Third
5840
#10
17.70.9
14.815.7
Auto6.1
Teleop8.7
End2.9
blue by 0.5
18.21.1
14.415.6
Auto1.0
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed