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Red80
565114.7
360019.9
418836.9
Blue86
358128.3
584818.2
164831.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6874204060801001201408086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.9
36.437.2
Auto9.7
Teleop21.4
End5.9
red by 5.4
31.51.0
30.931.8
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End4.5
Second
3600
#16
19.91.1
19.420.6
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End2.3
blue by 8.5
28.31.0
23.924.9
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End4.6
Third
5651
#21
14.70.9
11.412.2
Auto2.2
Teleop9.6
End2.9
blue by 3.4
18.21.0
16.517.5
Auto1.0
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsEarned