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Red20
613914.4
617717.4
334412.0
Blue76
584818.2
309125.3
470118.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526302040801001202076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6177
#13
17.42.5
22.420.0
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End2.5
blue by 7.9
25.31.1
23.524.6
Auto8.2
Teleop11.5
End5.6
Second
6139
#18
14.42.5
16.414.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
blue by 4.5
4701
#11
18.91.1
18.419.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Third
3344
#25
12.02.5
12.910.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End2.3
blue by 6.2
18.21.1
17.518.6
Auto1.0
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed